Saturday, August 22, 2009

Open Thread: Berlin Men's Marathon

UPDATE: Kenya 1-2-5 with Kiru, Mutai, Cheruiyot. Ethiopia 3-4 with Tsegaye Kebede and Yemane Tsegay. Good showing for Ethiopia. I really like the young Ethiopian marathoners who are disciplined enough to back off a hot pace and remain composed to work their way back to the front. Great work from both Tsegaye and Yemane. It looks like Deriba Merga blew up and dropped out.


The Ethiopian coach (Shambel Zelalem Desta, whom I met briefly in January 2007) says this year’s team, both men and women, is Ethiopia’s strongest ever and is talking of medal sweeps in both races. In my brief meeting of Shambel Zelalem, the man seemed completely normal but talk of medal sweep in any chmpionship marathon is simply insane! Digging a bit deeper into resumes of the five Ethiopians in the men’s race, it is easy to see that only Tsegaye Kebede and Deriba Merga have solid credentials. The other three only show 2-3 races under their belt with a 2:07-2:08 PR range. One must have an extraordinary day to jump from such credential to a World Championship medal. But then again, coach knows his runners best so I will wait to be proven wrong.

As for Deriba and Tsegaye, I give Tsegaye a very good chance of winning the race while Deriba, as always, is hard to prdict and could excel (Boston) or crash (Beijing). Besides, Deriba has already too many races this year and fatigue could be a factor.

Others to watch closely are Abderrahim Goumri of Morocco (he is due to win a race any day now), four time Boston champion Robert Cheruiyot, and my favorite dark horse Eritrean Yared Asmerom.

My picks: 1- Tsegaye Kebede 2- Robert Cheruiyot 3- Daniel Rono

Your picks? Discuss here.

P.S. IAAF Preview of men’s marathon is found here.

You can get a more frequent update by following Roocha on Twitter
here.

7 comments:

roocha said...

Half-way thru at 1:03:03. Three Ethiopians in the leading group of 8: Merga, Kebede, Chimsa.

roocha said...

25K at 1:14:38. Kebede drops back leaving only Merga in the lead group.

roocha said...

Merga dropped. Two Kenyans up front. Will Kebede catch him again and take the bronze in a replay of Beijing???

roocha said...

Kenya 1-2-5 with Kiru, Mutai, Cheruiyot. Ethiopia 3-4 with Tsegaye Kebede and Yemane Tsegay. Good showing for Ethiopia. I really like the young Ethiopian marathoners who are disciplined enough to back off a hot pace and remain composed to work their way back to the front. Great work from both Tsegaye and Yemane. It looks like Deriba Merga blew up and dropped out.

yekolotemari said...

Tsegaye is unbelievable. I love this guy too. Deriba Merga is obviously talented but too impatient. I like the other runners as well. We actually have one of the deepest marathon talents we have ever had. I look for the women to do well as well.

yekolotemari said...

Thanks your insight on the coach. That is so unlike Ethiopian coaches to make a bold prediction like that. I am afraid, they do not have a good understanding of the talent outside of Ethiopia. I assume that his basis for making such a bold prediction is the PR of those runners.

yekolotemari said...

Kenenisa saved us some blushes.